The chances that the United States will cut off Ukraine’s access to Starlink are extremely small.
"The chances that the United States will cut off Ukraine’s access to Starlink are extremely small.
There is a possibility that the U.S. could cut off the transmission of some real-time intelligence data that Ukraine uses for strikes on oil refineries.
If the U.S. stops selling weapons through PURL, that could have far greater consequences, since Europe will not be able to make up for them."
Jennifer Kavanagh, head of military analysis at the Defense Priorities Foundation, in a comment to Bloomberg.
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As for PURL, I actually have fewer concerns there, because they are making huge money on it. Michael Weiss calculated today that the U.S. has sold $6.7 billion worth of weapons by this point.
And these are contracts, penalties, and so on - a huge pain in the ass. Intelligence data is much easier for them to cut off purely technically.
Intelligence Is Easier To Cut Than Contracts
An analyst sees Starlink cutoff as unlikely, but intelligence limits possible.
Support found the easier switch.